Now we have a testable hypothesis - thank you. All we need to know in order to determine if the Austrian School or the Engleman School is the winner is whether:
a) The top marginal tax rate and unemployment rate are generally correlated.
b) The percent of tax revenue provided by the top quintile of taxpayers and GDP growth are generally correlated.
c) Whether Republican opposition to the New Deal was successful in blocking spending measures during the 1930's.
As for the first two, I see no reason to limit ourselves to the USA. The floor is open for any evidence relevant to the above categories.
As for the third category, you will see from the charts at usgovernmentspending.com that despite any Republican objection, government spending as a percent of GDP rose rapidly from 1929 to a peak in 1933, where it remained constant (and high) until spiking during WWII. In fact, it was higher than all previous times, both boom and bust, except during the Civil War. Thus Republican opposition cannot be a cause of the length of the depression as it was, alas, ineffective.
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The Depression lasted as long as it did because the Republicans opposed the high government spending paid for by steeply progressive taxation that finally ended it during the Second World War. When the top tax rate was 94%, unemployment was 1.2%. Soaking the rich was good for the economy. Consequently, it was good for the Democrats. The Democrats took the money of rich Republicans and used it to buy votes for Democrat politicians. It worked then. It will work now.
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I must point out that it is a logical fallacy to assume that Roosevelt's popularity means that his ideas were sound. History is full of popular ideas that have proven disastrous.
The new deal is extremely hard to repeal because it creates interest groups - the recipients of that power shift. It will be difficult to take power from Washington and state capitols and return it to entrepreneurs, just as it took a great depression to put it there. Once again, difficulty of repeal does not a good idea make.
Also, given the complexity of the tax code, you can't compare top marginal rates from year to year - you'll need to go look up tax payments by population quartile or some such figure.
The proof or Roosevelt's failure, moreover, is not in the idea that the nation never recovered, but that the depression lasted 16 years. Republican views really have no bearing on Roosevelt's failure.
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Because the United States faces the greatest economic crises since the Great Depression many Americans hope President Obama reproduces the accomplishments of Franklin Roosevelt. Nevertheless, Republicans are arguing that Roosevelt did not end the Depression; he prolonged it. There is nothing new about this argument. The GOP presented it during the New Deal. Nevertheless, we should understand why most voters rejected it when Roosevelt was president. ***
Economists cannot prove their theories with controlled, repeatable experiments the way chemists and physicists can. In politics causal relationships can only be indicated. Many different factors influence a single important event. The temptation is to blame what is universally deplored on politicians and policies we personally dislike, while taking credit for what everyone welcomes on behalf of politicians and policies we like for reasons that may have little to do with what everyone welcomes. ***
For example, Democrats blame the current meltdown on the Bush Administration and the fact that for six years he had a compliant, Republican Congress. Republicans blame the fact that since 2006 the Democrats have had majorities in both houses of Congress. They also blame policies of Bill Clinton, and Jimmy Carter, and the election of Barack Obama. Democrats give Clinton credit for the good economic numbers of his second term. Republicans thank the Republican Congress, and Ronald Reagan. ***
The Republican critique of the Roosevelt Administration amounts to the assertion that if Herbert Hoover had been reelected in 1932, the United States would have recovered sooner from the Depression. Obviously, this argument cannot be conclusively refuted. Nevertheless, it can be evaluated using facts that are not in serious dispute. ***
According to the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, when Herbert Hoover was elected president in 1928, the unemployment rate was 4.2%. When he was defeated in 1932 and Roosevelt was elected, the unemployment rate had risen to 23.6%. In 1936, when Roosevelt was reelected for the first time, the unemployment rate had declined to 16.9%. In 1940, when he was reelected the second time, the unemployment rate had declined further to 14.6%. In 1944, when he was reelected the third time, the unemployment rate was 1.2%. Of course, the country was at war then. The Democrat explanation of this is that what reduced the unemployment rate to 1.2% was not specifically the Second World War, but government spending and government employment at a level the GOP had prevented earlier. Let us remember: we have seen during the past six years that a war does not necessarily generate robust job creation. ***
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis, the per capita Gross Domestic Product, in terms 1996 dollars, was $7,439 in 1928. This had declined to $4,901 in 1932. During the Roosevelt Administration there was a steady growth to$ 6,423 in 1936, $7,423 in 1940, and $12,380 in 1944. ***
What Republicans really do not like is the fact that the top tax rate grew during the Roosevelt Administration. According to the Internal Revenue Service, the top marginal income tax rate was 25% in 1928. By 1944 that had grown to 94%. The fact that the economy grew during the New Deal disproves the Republican cliché that, “You can’t tax your way to prosperity.” What matters is who pays the taxes, and what the money is spent on. ***
During most of American history, throughout most of the country, businessmen have enjoyed the status possessed by plantation owners in the antebellum South, aristocrats in Europe, members of the scholar gentry in dynastic China, samurai in Japan, and Brahmins in India. The New Deal changed that. It shifted wealth, power, and prestige from Wall Street to Washington, DC, and from Main Street to the state capitals. The heroes of the New Deal were not entrepreneurs and investors, but intellectuals and civil servants (who are the American equivalent of China’s scholar gentry) and labor leaders. ***
That is why many Republicans hated Roosevelt during his life. It is why the GOP continues to regret his legacy. Nevertheless, life for most Americans began to get better almost as soon as Roosevelt took office. They were more likely to have jobs. They also benefited from a growing public sector of the economy that was paid for by progressive taxation. This is why Roosevelt was reelected three times, why Republican politicians have never been able to repeal the reforms of the New Deal, and why the Democrats dominated the United States until the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980.
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July 3, 2009
Intellectual Rubbish
Edmund Burke (Feb 21 at 04:00 PM)
From the front page of the New York Times:
Japan offers a peek at how thrift can take lasting hold of a consumer society, to disastrous effect.
This belies the intellectual corruption of the Keynesian paradigm. How could any reasonable human being believe that thrift with respect to personal finances (or governmental finances, for that matter) will lead to "disastrous effect"?
From a life and death perspective, flying in the US is the safest way to go, and voting is always a safe bet, with virtually all election outcomes in the US of no existential significance.
I pass on this article solely because of its compelling, jolting truth: Putting unqualified people in charge of life and death, people who are not trained physically, educated mentally, and programmed physchologically to deal with life and death, is, predictably, going to cause unnecessary death and destruction.
Captain Sullenberger's composure under extraordinary pressure is exceeded in magnitude only by the stoic modesty he exhibited during tonight's 60 Minutes interview.
Descending rapidly towards the Hudson, Captain Sullenberger sent the following succinct command: "brace for impact." In turn, like a well-oiled machine, the well-trained crew of flight 1549 responded in coordinated fashion, instructing the passengers to lower their heads, ensure that their belts were securely fastened and not to panic. Sully heard their voices, and their redoubtable actions energized his fortitude.
When asked about his final thoughts prior to landing, Captain Sully, a true American hero, calmly responded "I knew I could do it."
God bless this man, who kept his head when others would not. His actions and abilities dwarf those of our elected leaders, whose cowardliness and ineptitude could not be more effectively contrasted than by comparison with Captain Sullenberger's heroism.
Fareed Zakaria: "Mr. Deputy Prime Minister, what are your thoughts on the recent Iraqi elections?"
Barham Salih, Deputy Prime Minister, Iraq: "Iraqis are moving from the bullet to the ballot box. This transition is due to the incredible resilience of the United States."
I can think of one person who deserves credit for this incredible transition, and millions who should be excoriated for fighting it.
The assault on scholarship and intellect continues, perpetuated by the barbaric MSM, in particular CNN and the New York Times. Indeed, no more than five minutes ago, CNN repeated its anti-intellectual siren song, proffering one "Lincoln" scholar who proceeded to explain his litany of "historical parallels" between one of the nation's greatest presidents and one of its least qualified.
In support of the "scholar's" thesis, which CNN implicitly condones, he submits(i) Lincoln and Obama were Senators from Illinois, (ii) Lincoln was a writer (true), Obama is a writer (false), and, saving the best for last, (iii) Lincoln would vote for Obama's one trillion dollar stimulus bill because, I kid you not, Lincoln supported the transcontinental railroad (it was infrastructure spending, stupid!).
Intelligent people dismiss this bunk as the puerile drivel of the uninformed ideologue.
The Left would control climate change by killing people.
pukka luftmensch, esq. (Feb 1 at 03:44 PM)
Jonathon Porritt, who chairs the (British) government's Sustainable Development Commission, says curbing population growth through contraception and abortion must be at the heart of policies to fight global warming. Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, has indicated that population control through abortion and condom use is necessary for economic health.
Hitler, too, was fond of eugenics and population control. Stalin and Mao were strong advocates of government-enforced population controls, including forced abortion and other violent means of using "family planning" to achieve political/social control. Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, was not merely for birth control; she also advocated abortion, exterminating the malformed or retarded, and forced sterilization of selected elements of (what she felt to be) social undesirables and a racially inferior underclass.
As this latest dangerous twist of the ominous global warming crusade illustrates, it is all about the crypto-religious purification of society accomplished by the literal elimination of opposition and obstacles to the perfectionist beliefs, economic goals, and secular objectives of international socialism.
Richard Rahn, of the Cato Institute correctly observes: "There is virtually no empirical evidence - in the United States or anywhere else - to support the belief of economists of the Keynesian school that a big increase in government spending will make matters better, rather than worse. Economists of the Austrian school have, in general, supported smaller government as a way to achieve higher levels of both prosperity and individual freedom, and the empirical evidence shows them to be correct."
Breaking News - French Revolution Ends in Disaster
Edmund Burke (Jan 22 at 01:57 PM)
Two revolutions within a few years of one another, each ostensibly premised in liberty, yielded two courses of human events: one course, the most glorious mankind has ever known and also its last best hope; the other, evil incarnate, the precursor to unfathomable evil and the bringer of destruction and death.
Modern democratic politics is a political descendant of Rousseau's "Social Contract" theory, through which Rousseau posited the existence of the "General Will" and from which the world's most horrible tyrannies have drawn their philosophical strength. Beginning with Robespierre, growing with Hitler and Stalin, and awaiting crescendo, it is the germ from which tyranny may ultimately spring forth in the fertile soil of democracy.
Evil in this world stems most recently from the ideas embodied in the French Revolution.
All good in this world derives its sustenance from the ideas that defined the American Revolution.
Ben Bernanke might be a disguised ally of the Austrian model (the valid counterpart to the defunct, absurd and costly Keynesian model which has bamboozled the entire world).
Indeed, he may have signaled to the intelligent people of the world that he recognizes the fundamental structural problems of the Keynesian fiat money, demand stimulation model.
Begin watching at minute 43:00 of this recording of Mr. Bernanke's speech at the London School of Economics, three days ago. Pay close attention when he talks about putting out the fire prior to changing the fire code.
Could that new "fire code" be a hard money system? Perhaps one that is intrinsically capable of protecting the people's money from government theft through inflation?
From the preface to Volume I of Cato's Letters, written by Trenchard and Gordon between 1720 and 1721 in part regarding the proper role of government and in part a response to the massive collusion between and corruption of government and private enterprise in the South Sea Scandal, we see:
The London Exchange had at least a thirty-year history of extensive dealings in the shares and bonds of private companies, and it had served as a center of public credit for far longer. Yet it had never experienced anything like the events of 1720. A group of unscrupulous financiers had conspired with a government riddled with corrupt ministers to defraud large numbers of investors in a company whose solidity appeared guaranteed by the fact that the Company's chief asset was the credit of the government itself. (Emphasis added.)
The "credit of the government itself" seems an endless source of public corruption and massive delusion. Witness, more recently, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the corrupt ministers Barney Frank and Chris Dodd.
President-Elect Barack Obama's campaign slogan "yes, we can" captured the essence of popular liberal sentiment not by marshalling a to-do list of democratic agenda-items - i.e. things that "we can" do - but by doing the exact opposite. By painting an ambiguous picture that suggests change is needed but carefully omitting from describing any particular change, Mr. Obama's tactically brilliant campaign hoodwinked the democratic base into voting for everything and nothing simultaneously. Indeed, it will be difficult for Mr. Obama to fail, or at least for its base to perceive failure, since there are no criteria for evaluating success.
That is, most of Mr. Obama's supporters probably couldn't elucidate a single discrete reason that they voted for Mr. Obama. What's more, notwithstanding a disturbing attachment to the above mantra, most of his supporters aren't sure what, exactly, it is that they "can't do" and, in any event, who it is that is telling them "they can't."
One wonders, then, what today's liberal thinks of warrantless wiretapping, Guantanamo Bay, Iraq and Afghanistan, huge expenditures on public education, and amnesty for illegal aliens (all ostensibly liberal agenda items), and how they will respond when an Obama presidency perpetuates exactly the same agenda initiated by President Bush and from which we were supposed to be delivered via "change we need." To be sure, if there are no criteria, liberals must view Mr. Obama's presidency favorably, not because they will monitor his Presidency (they won't understand that it will parallel Mr. Bush's), but precisely because they elected him.
Similarly, the popular myth that FDR delivered us from an economic crisis persists in the minds of the masses, not because he so delivered (he did not), but because the masses elected him, they bestowed the Presidency upon him using their judgment. Their judgment, because it was wrought in turmoil and widely supported, was imbued with the character of infallibility. In effect, it's not the message, it's the messenger, and the people appointed the messenger. Thy will be done.
Here's the point: I predict that Mr. Obama won't do things differently than President Bush, he'll simply do the same things, but more often and in greater quantities. And, far more importantly, He will be doing them. And that recipe reflects the essence of today's uninformed but psychologically distraught mass man and mass voter - it matters not what is changed, or, indeed, whether anything is changed at all; rather, what matters is the sense of power and control experienced by such voters when they expressed their will, and their will was done.
Mr. Obama recognized that his task was to provide the people with a sense that they had a voice in the game and that they had the power. That, "yes, they could." Having been denied a voice in their own governing for so long, the people now lack the means to govern themselves, and they will be satiated merely by appointing the governor.
I understand your dilemma; you have been led to believe, through endless years of unquestioned indoctrination, that the Keynesian paradigm will rescue us from a structural monetary problem that you don't understand.
You will drive the State, and people like you will drive the Nation, into bankruptcy and despair. On the other hand, if the productive people of this nation are sufficiently courageous, they will stand up against a government tyranny that acts as a coercive medium to steal the property of one portion of the population to give to itself or another.
I will not vote to re-elect you. You are an enemy of civilization and it is my will that your kind will be relegated to the dustbin of history.
Sincerely,
Edmund Burke
Dear Mr. Burke:
Thank you for writing me regarding the need to control state spending in the upcoming budget. I recognize the seriousness of the budget crisis the state now faces and believe that the legislature will need to act in the near future to address this crisis, and that doing so will requiring substantially reducing state expenditures. However, given the depth of the fiscal crisis we find ourselves in, I do not believe we can rule out enhancing revenues through progressive tax policy.
New York State is currently facing a deficit of over $1.5 billion for the remainder of this fiscal year, and an additional $13.5 billion projected for the fiscal year beginning in April 2009. These numbers are a reflection of the terrible economic times our country and our state are facing, and specifically relate to the dependence of New York State on tax revenue generated by the financial, insurance, and real estate sectors of our economy, as well as the years of shrinking support from Washington DC.
The deficit for 2009-2010 approaches ten percent of the total state budget, and we will not be able to close this deficit without making some very difficult choices, and without a recognition that the decisions we make will inevitably have a negative impact on many New Yorkers. As I evaluate proposals for addressing this crisis, I believe there are certain basic principles we must apply.
First, we cannot balance the budget on the backs of the most vulnerable in our society. While cuts may be necessary to even the most critical programs, basic safety net programs must receive adequate funding to survive, and it is foolish to make cuts in these programs, which are most needed in bad economic times and most likely to have Federal "matches" which actually increase our resources.
Second, we need to recognize that we cannot solve this problem without addressing both the revenue and expenditure side of the budget. We will need to make spending cuts, and given the depth of the problems we face, many of these cuts will be extremely painful. We will also need to take steps to increase revenues by calling on those who do have the resources to contribute more. I believe one way to do this is through a re-evaluation of both income taxes and business taxes to assure equity and fairness in our tax system. I believe that there are many other changes to our tax system that we can make that will both enhance the progressivity of our tax structure and also raise revenue. That said, tax and fee increases must not be the only part of the solution, and we need to recognize the negative economic impact of tax increases in a difficult economic time.
Third, our solution must spread the pain, as there is plenty of it to go around. The reality is that the cuts we make to close this budget gap will inherently hurt good programs, just as any tax increases will hurt those who have to pay more. It is critical that as we develop our budgetary solutions, we do so in a way that ensures that the burdens are fairly and equitably distributed, and do not fall disproportionately on those least able to effectively lobby in Albany.
Finally, we must aggressively pursue federal assistance. New Yorkers consistently contribute tens of billions of dollars more to the Federal government that we receive in return in terms of federal expenditures in the state. Particularly in this difficult economic time, we need the Federal government to be part of the solution by returning some of that money to our state. President-elect Obama and the Congress have both expressed support for including state aid as part of a stimulus package, and it is critical that New York's leaders fight to ensure this commitment is kept.
There is no question that these are difficult times for New Yorkers and the State as a whole. I appreciate you taking the time to share your concerns and ideas, and as the budget process moves forward in the weeks and months ahead, I will welcome your further input as to how best to address this fiscal crisis.
New York proposes to tax the "sin" of doing what Democrat-elitists do not like, for starters (and just for starters) the drinking of sugared soft drinks.
I say that there should be a 20% tax on things that most Dem's love but that are actually very bad for you: For example, rap music, Hollywood movies, reading or watching CNN, the New York Times and Washington Post, NBC and PBS (for starters,) lottery tickets, Barbara Streisand fund-raising concerts for Democrats, anything said for profit by Dave Letterman, Garrison Keillor, Jon Daly, Barbara Walters, Oprah Winfrey or Colin Powell, any book on the New York Times best-seller list, Time Magazine and Newsweek, contributions to UNICEF, PETA, the Sierra Club, and the Natural Resources Defense Council, fuel-efficient cars (all of which are especially unsafe,) contributions to NARAL or Planned Parenthood, and any expenditure for latte coffees and for anything made in China.
Bush was right on Iraq, even if he will not say so.
pukka luftmensch, esq. (Dec 12 at 06:39 PM)
The war was waged with military genius, the quick victory was nearly lost and squandrered through poor planning by Rumsfeld and Powell for the contingency of complete military success and by post-invasion incompetence (that of the State Department, the White House staff, and the President.)
A bridge loan to nowhere; the United Auto Workers, the President, and the law.
pukka luftmensch, esq. (Dec 12 at 05:36 PM)
Poor Senator Ted Stevens of Alaska, his "bridge to nowhere" would have cost taxpayers a mere $100 million or so; yet he is excoriated even for this petty porking politics.
Ted thought way too small.
If a politician wants to bring really super-pork to his state and his constituents or to his union boss cronies or to his boardroom buddies and be applauded rather than prosecuted, he must not market in mere public works projects.
Rather, he must buy and sell "rescue." The "rescue" of banks and investment bankers and their credit markets that they poisoned, the "rescue" of homeowners who conspired to obtain mortgages they did not deserve, the "rescue" of city and state governments that spend far more than even their exorbitant taxing can fund, the "rescue" of Katrina residents living where they should not have lived and refusing to evacuate when they should have fled, the "rescue" of any industry (such as autos) that Congressional Democrats and their union supporters has previously mortally wounded with regulatory burden and uncompetitive costs, the "rescue" of any and every body in a state of self-induced economic distress, so long as he, she, or it can be pushed off on the mobocracy of stupid voters and sheep-like taxpayers as a "victim."
Enter from stage right (where else?) the planetary king of building bridges to nowhere, history's unchallenged champion of spending public dollars to rescue private entities, President George W. Bush, who, fool that he is, may now step in where even Congressional angels (HaHa) fear to tread.
Bush would use the TARP money to underwrite Detroit unless his lawyers advise him properly and tell him that his attempt to do so is plainly illegal and will be stopped within 72 hours by a judicial restraining order that will be followed by a preliminary injunction against Secretary Paulson
What a pleasant thought, that at last the federal judiciary might redeem itself and at last the rule of law would block a lawless government.
Our democracy is fatally corrupted; the ruling elite are not responsive to those from whom they draw their only legitimate authority. Stand up, Americans, stand up against this tyranny.
There was but a mere year ago, according to the major media most of whose members wasted their educationally-formative years studying the empty shell of journalism, a "consensus" that man-made climate change was significant and preventable.
Consensus having nothing to do with true science, it turns out, now, that global warming caused by man is all but dead as a matter of science.
Refreshing.
Now, if the cheap demagogues among the crass political class would just let this pseudo-religion die we may yet escape the true global catastrophe, climate change statocracy.
This case is a sham, inspired by a Bush Justice Department now in bed with two significant American enemies, the major media and their patron, the Democrat Party.This morally corrupt, legally fraudulent, factually unsupportable prosecution helps advance their ultimate cause of defeat in Iraq and in the War on Terror.
I knew at the time that Reagan was right, we should never have given up the national security advantage of controlling the Panama Canal.
From Bertrand De Jouvenel's "On Power" (a book written in the early twentieth century), regarding the growth of centralized power:
"Where will it end? In the destruction of all other command for the benefit of one alone - that of the state. In each man's absolute freedom from every family and social authority, a freedom the price of which is complete submission to the state. In the complete equality as between themselves of all citizens, paid for by their equal abasement before the power of their absolute master - the state. In the disappearance of every constraint which does not emanate from the state, and in the denial of every pre-eminence which is not approved by the state. In a word, it ends in the atomization of society, and in the rupture of every private tie linking man and man, whose only bond is now their common bondage to the state. The extremes of individualism and socialism meet: that was their predestined course."
De Jouvenel was a French thinker; the 20th century successor to de Tocqueville.
From Rostovtzev (presumably, an historian):
"The reforms of Diocletian and Constantine, by implementing a policy of systematic spoliation to the profit of the State, made all productive activity impossible. The reason is, not that there were no more large fortunes: on the contrary, their build-up was made easier. But the foundation of their build-up was now no longer creative energy, or the discovery and bringing into use of new sources of wealth, or the improvement and development of husbandry, industry and commerce. It was, on the contrary, the cunning exploitation of a privileged position in the State, used to despoil people and State alike. The officials, great and small, got rich by way of fraud and corruption."
To which De Jouvenel adds:
"We may be sure that this new race of barons will try to make their own offices which bring them such advantages and to assure their transmission to their descendants. It will be the feudal system over again. Conqueror though it is of the aristocracy which took shape in society, the state will in the end be dismembered by the statocracy which it itself has borne. The beneficiaries of the state leave it, taking with them a veritable dowry of wealth and authority, leaving the state impoverished and powerless. Then it becomes the turn of the state to break down these new social molecules, containing as they do the human energies which it needs. And so the process of the state's expansion starts all over again.
Such is the spectacle which history presents to us. Now we see an aggressive state pulling down what other authorities have built up, now we see an omnipotent and distended state bursting like a ripe spore and releasing from its midst a new feudalism which robs it of its substance."
I say: A veritable playbook for the U.S since the FDR era. "Statocracy" was coined by De Jouvenel; it is a useful word that we should get accustomed to in deed.
Had I been the judge, I would have offered that scum-sucking, over-stuffed piece of human fecal matter a reduced sentence opportunity:
"Admit that you slaughtered your wife and her friend. Just confess to the deed, OJ, and I will reduce your sentence by 6 months."
OJ would have slit another throat for such a deal; he would have grabbed the offer faster than a Manson memorabilia collector bidding on previously undisclosed photographs of that murder scene.
I say that "principle" as an intellectual/ moral/religious/social force in American life died betweeen 1965 and 1974 whence the family (the foundation of values,) education (the breeding ground of values,) economics and law (the defenders of instrumental values,) the academy ( the perpetrator of values), and (most importantly) politics were mortally wounded by the tsunami of the perfect anti-American storm:
The rising tide of prosperity from the post-war 50's (think growing materialism), the Democrat-inspired and led Vietnam War debacle of the LBJ 60's, the Democrat-led radical derailment of the Civil Rights movement, the emotional upheaval caused by the assassinations of the unworthy but highly romanticized Kennedys (think of a mindless, emotional/ existentialist moment that lasted 45 years,) the racially-motivated, nationally catastrophic assassination of Dr. King, the grosssly distorted Nixon Watergate era, and the rise to omnipotence of the lowest of intellectual/moral life, TV journalism.
We are now a nation without principles, any principles.
(But principle as a guiding and controlling force will be reborn very soon.)
"Had it not been for the frantic efforts of the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, to say nothing of their counterparts in almost equally afflicted Europe, there would by now have been a repeat of that "great contraction" of credit and economic activity that was the prime mover of the Depression. Back then, the Fed and the Treasury did next to nothing to prevent bank failures from translating into a drastic contraction of credit and hence of business activity and employment."
This is the exact opposite of the truth. During the Great Depression, the Federal Reserve did everything in its power to prevent bank failure; it did so by printing massive amounts of money between 1929 and 1932 (more, in inflation-adjusted terms, than it is printing now). This fact is well-documented in Murray Rothbard's "A History of Money and Banking in the United States: The Colonial Era to World War II." Indeed, the Depression-era effort to expand the money supply must be called "Herculian", if it is to be called anything at all.
However, the inflationary attempts were more than offset by the collapse of the "money multiplier", which collapse led to deflation (the same cause of the deflationary forces now prevailing). Those people who have explicitly or, more often, implicitly, adopted the Keynesian worldview not only want to believe that the Fed failed to expand the money supply during the Depression (which is true, it failed - but not for lack of trying, it failed by reason of economic reality, beyond the Keynesian paradigm's explanatory power) - they have to believe that. Their paradigm requires it as a foundational truth; otherwise, what's the point of the Federal Reserve?
For the record, nearly every mainstream publication has adopted this incorrect Keynesian paradigm - the paradigm being that economic growth (in normal times) and economic recovery (in times of recession) can be stimulated through inflationary monetary policy.
A more useful and accurate paradigm - the Austrian theory of the trade cycle, espoused by F.A. Hayek, von Mises and others - properly identifies artificially low interest rates brought about by fractional reserve banking and central money as the cause of the boom-bust business cycle.
Incidentally, everybody and their grandmother knows, you can't fix a problem that was created by disgustingly excessive lending by encouraging more of that same lending.
In the wake of BO's victory the predictable tide of socialist academic pontificators has begun to rise, with the major media playing its essential role of co-conspirator and chief facilitator of the Left's assault on individual liberty and free markets.
That is an astonishing assertion (even for an intellectual) as the central government, this very moment, is printing unprecedented amounts of money and buying historic amounts of bad debt in a desperate, collective effort to absolve every irresponsible debtor of "individual responsibility" (personal, corporate, and government) for a debt-ridden nation drowning in bad debt.
What a typical Liberal see as a conflict of interest
pukka luftmensch, esq. (Nov 24 at 07:27 PM)
He's leaving Fox Cable News (thank God) so I shouldn't beat on him.
But I can't resist.
Alan Colmes tonight is interviewing Karl Rove and Alan wants to know, "Is that a conflict of interest" (to have in the White House a political advisor, David Axelrod to Obama, who is also a policy advisor?)
How would this utterly incompetent man have survived all these years in major media but for an Endangered Species Act-like policy at FCN called "Fair and Balanced"?
There is nothing "too big to fail" if we care about the long-term health of our economy and of freedom.
In the current panic and mass rush toward socialism and a government-controlled economy one institutution, capitalism, appears politically unimportant, economically irrelevant, and small in the opinion of the economically uneducated public and our politically fatuous, economically ignorant government representatives.
Capitalism in America has now become too small to fail.
The recent, surprising ascendance of Hollywood's radical Congressman, Henry Waxman, to the chairmanship of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce is dire foreboding. Another California radical Leftist, Barbara Boxer, chairs the Senate Committee on the Environment. Together, they bring to America for the first time in our history political leadership that is wholly committed and power that is totally dedicated to the methods (central control of the economy and national government intrusion into the details of peoples' lives) and the goal (destruction of free markets) that have all but consumed personal freedom and devoured economic prosperity in Europe.
w-a-x-m-a-n-b-o-x-e-r spells "catastrophe," albeit masqueraded as "environmental protection."
Environmentalism, for 40 years, has been but a supporting brigade in the army of statist socialists in their war to destroy capitalism and restrict freedom. Now, that movement has gained control of that war. Environmentalism has morphed into a monstrous religious crusade, an army of tens of millions that dominates the governments of powerful countries, is swept forth by the false god of global warming, and now wields the nuclear weapon of climate change avoidance.
There remains no defense for freedom except to marshall the forces of science and economics and wage a campaign of intensive lobbying of Congress and EPA and relentless litigating in the courts. What little is left of American industry must be prepared to fight for its survival and that of the US economy. Most in America would suffer grievously; millions in the third world would perish, and the wretched of the earth would be further impoverished because of what WaxmanBoxer will do here if they are not met with total, protracted, scorched earth legal and political opposition.
The more Barack Obama "changes" things the more they remain the same.
pukka luftmensch, esq. (Nov 21 at 09:46 PM)
So, let me get the latest BO "change" straight: 1) The "Attorney General Man" is Eric Holder, who was numero duo in the Clintoon Admin.'s DOJ, wherein he engineered illicit, creepy pardons of felons and terrorists; 2) the SecState Woman is the wife of the Clintoon Admin., the woman who fought BO during the Dem Primaries as being unprepared for the presidency and incompetent to handle national security and foreign affairs; and 3) the SecTreas. is the guy who served as the Risk Analysis Director for Bear Stearns (HaHa), was then appointed by W. Bush to the Fed, from whence he assisted Paulson and Bernanke in the " Bush Bailout."
"Change" is always overrated and, as promised by BO, a lie.
I love most ethnic jokes since they are emotionally harmless to the sane and sound, truly funny for the sane and sound, and rooted in the reality of human nature, which Liberals hate and which all Liberal political programs seek to deny: That the human species has an inherent aversion to and prejudice against diversity and an inherent presumption in favor of cultural tradition. This genetic/social aversion to diversity and prejudice against cultural instability are stabilizing, species-protective, societal survival skills that are part of our genetic, evolutionary makeup.